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Lottery Tax, Cash Value & Odds Methodology

State data verified October 2026

2026 IRS brackets · official lottery and state sources

Overview

This page explains how every tax, cash-value and odds figure on AiLottoAnalyzer is calculated, and links the official source behind each state rule. The payout calculators, jackpot tax pages and this page all use the same code, so the numbers here are the numbers on the site. The full state dataset is available as a CSV file, free to reuse with attribution (CC BY 4.0).

Figures are estimates for education, not tax advice. Lottery draws are random; nothing on the site changes anyone's odds.

Cite this page

Source: AiLottoAnalyzer state lottery tax dataset (state rates verified October 2026; 2026 IRS brackets), https://www.ailottoanalyzer.com/methodology, accessed 2026-11-01.

2026 federal tax: 24% withheld, up to 37% owed

Federal tax on a jackpot is calculated in two steps. When a prize over $5,000 is claimed, the lottery withholds a flat 24%. The actual liability is set later by the 2026 income tax brackets (IRS Rev. Proc. 2025-32): almost all of a jackpot falls in the top 37% bracket, so most winners owe the difference when they file. The calculators treat the prize as the winner's only income for the year and apply the standard deduction; the site's figures use the single-filer table.

RateSingle: taxable income up toMarried Filing Jointly: taxable income up toHead of Household: taxable income up to
10%$12,400$24,800$17,700
12%$50,400$100,800$67,450
22%$105,700$211,400$105,700
24%$201,775$403,550$201,750
32%$256,225$512,450$256,200
35%$640,600$768,700$640,600
37%and aboveand aboveand above
Standard deduction$16,100$32,200$24,150

Example: federal tax on a $500M lump sum.

Filing statusWithheld at claim (24%)Total federal taxStill due at filingEffective rate
Single$120,000,000$184,950,000$64,950,00036.99%
Married Filing Jointly$120,000,000$184,910,251$64,910,25136.98%
Head of Household$120,000,000$184,945,214$64,945,21436.99%

State tax is applied as a flat rate on the prize (the top marginal rate, including millionaire surtaxes where they apply). Each annuity payment is taxed in the year it is paid, using today's brackets.

30-year annuity and the Treasury-linked cash value

Powerball and Mega Millions advertise the annuity: 30 payments, one now and then one a year for 29 years, each 5% larger than the last. The first payment is the jackpot divided by the sum of the growth factors, 1.050 + 1.051 + … + 1.0529 = 66.4388.

The cash option is what the lottery would need today to buy the bonds that fund those payments: each payment is discounted at the 30-year U.S. Treasury constant-maturity yield (FRED series DGS30) plus a small calibrated adjustment. Cash ratio = Σ (1.05k ÷ 66.4388) ÷ (1 + r)k for k = 0 … 29. When a lottery publishes its official cash value, the site uses that figure instead.

30-year yield

5.31%

October 30, 2026

Cash option today

42.2%

of the advertised jackpot

Backtest median error

0.92%

of the official cash value

Backtest: the model was checked against 47 official Mega Millions jackpots from January 1, 2019 to July 28, 2026, re-calibrating the adjustment from each previous official figure as the site does. Across the 46 predicted values the median error was 0.92% of the official cash value (0.51 percentage points of the jackpot), the mean 1.03% and the worst 3.04%.

2026 US State Lottery Tax, Anonymity & Claim Rules Dataset (52 jurisdictions)

Top lottery tax rate, game availability, winner-privacy rule, claim deadline and official sources for all 50 states, the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico, verified in October 2026 against state lottery websites, revenue departments and statutes. Where a rule could not be confirmed from an official source it is marked “Not yet verified” rather than guessed.

Games$1B annuity, netWinner anonymityClaim deadlineSources
Alabama AL5%No state lottery$290,050,000$581,499,993No lottery—Tax——
Alaska AK0%No state lottery$315,050,000$631,499,993No lottery—Tax——
Arizona AZ2.5%Powerball & Mega Millions$302,550,000$606,499,993Confidential on request for prizes of $100,000+180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Arkansas AR3.7%Powerball & Mega Millions$296,550,000$594,499,993Confidential on request over $500,000, for 3 years180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
California CA0%Powerball & Mega Millions$315,050,000$631,499,993Public record (winner's name is released)1 yearTaxPrivacyClaim
Colorado CO4.4%Powerball & Mega Millions$293,050,000$587,499,993Public (first name, last initial and hometown are released)180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Connecticut CT6.99%Powerball & Mega Millions$280,100,000$561,599,993Partial: names are not published without consent, but may be released under FOI180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Delaware DE6.6%Powerball & Mega Millions$282,050,000$565,499,993Anonymous (any prize)1 yearTaxPrivacyClaim
District of Columbia DC10.75%Powerball & Mega Millions$261,300,000$523,999,993Public record180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Florida FL0%Powerball & Mega Millions$315,050,000$631,499,993Temporary: name confidential for 90 days on prizes of $250,000+180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Georgia GA4.99%Powerball & Mega Millions$290,100,000$581,599,993Confidential on request for prizes of $250,000+180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Hawaii HI11%No state lottery$260,050,000$521,499,993No lottery—Tax——
Idaho ID5.3%Powerball & Mega Millions$288,550,000$578,499,992Public record180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Illinois IL4.95%Powerball & Mega Millions$290,300,000$581,999,992Confidential on request for $250,000+ (may not stop FOIA release)1 yearTaxPrivacyClaim
Indiana IN2.95%Powerball & Mega Millions$300,300,000$601,999,993Public record180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Iowa IA3.8%Powerball & Mega Millions$296,050,000$593,499,993Public record (no anonymous claims)180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Kansas KS5.58%Powerball & Mega Millions$287,150,000$575,699,993Anonymous (any prize, unless you authorize release)1 yearTaxPrivacyClaim
Kentucky KY3.5%Powerball & Mega Millions$297,550,000$596,499,992Public record (no anonymity law; names can be released under the Open Records Act)180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Louisiana LA3%Powerball & Mega Millions$300,050,000$601,499,993Public record180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Maine ME9.15%Powerball & Mega Millions$269,300,000$539,999,993Confidential for prizes of $100,000+1 yearTaxPrivacyClaim
Maryland MD6.5%Powerball & Mega Millions$282,550,000$566,499,993Anonymous (any prize)182 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Massachusetts MA9%Powerball & Mega Millions$270,050,000$541,499,993Public record1 yearTaxPrivacyClaim
Michigan MI4.25%Powerball & Mega Millions$293,800,000$588,999,993Public for Powerball and Mega Millions (other prizes over $10,000 are confidential)1 yearTaxPrivacyClaim
Minnesota MN9.85%Powerball & Mega Millions$265,800,000$532,999,992Confidential over $10,000 (unless you opt in)1 yearTaxPrivacyClaim
Mississippi MS4%Powerball & Mega Millions$295,050,000$591,499,993Anonymous (any prize, unless you authorize release)180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Missouri MO4.7%Powerball & Mega Millions$291,550,000$584,499,993Anonymous (name released only with consent)180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Montana MT5.65%Powerball & Mega Millions$286,800,000$574,999,992Anonymous (name not released without permission)6 monthsTaxPrivacyClaim
Nebraska NE4.55%Powerball & Mega Millions$292,300,000$585,999,992Confidential for prizes of $250,000+180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Nevada NV0%No state lottery$315,050,000$631,499,993No lottery—Tax——
New Hampshire NH0%Powerball & Mega Millions$315,050,000$631,499,993Public (privacy only with a court or protective order)1 yearTaxPrivacyClaim
New Jersey NJ10.75%Powerball & Mega Millions$261,300,000$523,999,993Anonymous (any prize)1 yearTaxPrivacyClaim
New Mexico NM5.9%Powerball & Mega Millions$285,550,000$572,499,993Public record90 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
New York NY10.9%Powerball & Mega Millions$260,550,000$522,499,993Public (name and city may be released)1 yearTaxPrivacyClaim
North Carolina NC3.99%Powerball & Mega Millions$295,100,000$591,599,993Temporary: confidential for 90 days on prizes of $50M+180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
North Dakota ND2.5%Powerball & Mega Millions$302,550,000$606,499,993Anonymous (unless you authorize release)180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Ohio OH2.75%Powerball & Mega Millions$301,300,000$603,999,993Trust-only: names are public unless you claim through a trust180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Oklahoma OK4.5%Powerball & Mega Millions$292,550,000$586,499,993Partial: first name, city and amount are public (full privacy via a trust)180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Oregon OR9.9%Powerball & Mega Millions$265,550,000$532,499,993Anonymous by default (since September 2025)1 yearTaxPrivacyClaim
Pennsylvania PA3.07%Powerball & Mega Millions$299,700,000$600,799,993Public (limited information is released)1 yearTaxPrivacyClaim
Puerto Rico PR20%Powerball only$215,050,000$431,499,993Not yet verified180 daysTax—Claim
Rhode Island RI5.99%Powerball & Mega Millions$285,100,000$571,599,993Public record (name and city released on request)1 yearTaxPrivacyClaim
South Carolina SC5.21%Powerball & Mega Millions$289,000,000$579,399,993Anonymous (any prize)180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
South Dakota SD0%Powerball & Mega Millions$315,050,000$631,499,993Partial: publicity is optional, but names are released on records requests180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Tennessee TN0%Powerball & Mega Millions$315,050,000$631,499,993Not yet verified180 daysTax—Claim
Texas TX0%Powerball & Mega Millions$315,050,000$631,499,993Anonymous for prizes of $1M+ (annuity winners may be named after 30 days)180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Utah UT4.45%No state lottery$292,800,000$586,999,993No lottery—Tax——
Vermont VT8.75%Powerball & Mega Millions$271,300,000$543,999,993Public record1 yearTaxPrivacyClaim
Virginia VA5.75%Powerball & Mega Millions$286,300,000$573,999,993Anonymous (any prize, since July 2026)180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Washington WA0%Powerball & Mega Millions$315,050,000$631,499,993Public record (including trust claims)180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
West Virginia WV4.58%Powerball & Mega Millions$292,150,000$585,699,993Anonymous on request for prizes of $1M+180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Wisconsin WI7.65%Powerball & Mega Millions$276,800,000$554,999,993Public (name and city released on request)180 daysTaxPrivacyClaim
Wyoming WY0%Powerball & Mega Millions$315,050,000$631,499,993Anonymous (on request)180 days—PrivacyClaim

Showing 52 of 52. Benchmark: $1B advertised jackpot, 50% cash option ($500M), single filer, 2026 federal brackets plus the state rate. Annuity: total of 30 after-tax payments. States without a lottery are included because residents who win elsewhere are taxed at home.

Exact odds and statistical independence

Jackpot odds are exact counts of every possible ticket: the number of ways to choose the main numbers multiplied by the ways to choose the special ball(s).

GameMatrixPossible tickets (jackpot odds 1 in …)
Mega Millions (since April 8, 2025)5/70 + 1/24290,472,336
Mega Millions (Oct 2017 – April 2025)5/70 + 1/25302,575,350
Powerball5/69 + 1/26292,201,338
EuroMillions5/50 + 2/12139,838,160

Quick Pick's pool counter counts exactly how many tickets satisfy the active filters (odd/even, sum range, zones, decades, consecutive numbers and more) by enumerating every combination, then multiplies by the valid special-ball choices. Filters change which tickets you see, not the chance of any ticket: every combination is equally likely.

Every drawing is an independent random event. Historical frequencies, “hot” and “cold” numbers and the AiLA engine describe past results only; they do not change the odds of any future draw.

Corrections and reuse

Rules change: state rates are re-verified at least once a year and whenever a state changes its law. To report an error, use the contact page and include the official source. Reuse of the dataset is welcome under CC BY 4.0 with a link to https://www.ailottoanalyzer.com/methodology.

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